Weather Forecast for Nigeria: October 14–20, 2025

As Nigeria transitions from the rainy season to the dusty harmattan period, the weather this week (October 14–20, 2025) promises a mix of thunderstorms, high humidity, and rising temperatures across the country. From the bustling streets of Lagos to the arid plains of Kano, here’s your guide to what the skies have in store, based on insights from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), Weather.com, and meteoblue.

A National Snapshot

Nigeria’s weather in mid-October reflects its diverse climate zones. The south, including cities like Lagos and Port Harcourt, will see frequent thunderstorms and heavy rain, with 20–30 mm of rainfall expected over the next five days and an 80–90% chance of daily showers. Central regions, like Abuja, face moderate rain with a mix of sunny intervals, while the north, including Kano, enjoys drier, hotter conditions with only a 30–50% chance of rain. Daytime temperatures will hover between 29–34°C (84–93°F) nationwide, with nights cooling to 22–24°C (72–75°F). High humidity, especially in the south, could push the “feels-like” temperature to 35–37°C (95–99°F). Watch out for very high UV levels (8–9)—sunscreen and hats are a must!

Flood risks persist in southern and southeastern states like Bauchi, Plateau, and Niger due to heavy downpours. Meanwhile, northern areas are starting to feel the early effects of harmattan dust. Winds will remain light (8–11 kph, south/southwest), though stronger gusts are possible during storms. No major tropical systems are forecast, but marine heatwaves in the Gulf of Guinea could influence coastal weather.

7-Day Forecast for Major Cities

Here’s a detailed breakdown for three key cities—Lagos (south), Abuja (central), and Kano (north)—to help you plan your week.

Lagos (South)

Oct 14 (Today): 30°C (86°F) high / 24°C (75°F) low. Thunderstorms, 87% chance of rain (20–30 mm). Cloudy and humid.

Oct 15: 30°C (86°F) / 24°C (75°F). Thunderstorms, 85% rain. Windy spells possible.

Oct 16: 29°C (84°F) / 23°C (73°F). Heavy rain likely, 90% chance. Overcast.

Oct 17: 31°C (88°F) / 24°C (75°F). Scattered thunderstorms, 80% rain. Conditions improving.

Oct 18: 30°C (86°F) / 24°C (75°F). Thunderstorms easing, 70% rain. Humid.

Oct 19: 29°C (84°F) / 23°C (73°F). Isolated showers, 65% rain. Partly sunny.

Oct 20: 30°C (86°F) / 24°C (75°F). Light showers, 60% rain. Mixed skies.

Tip: Expect urban flooding risks. Keep umbrellas handy and avoid low-lying areas during heavy rain.

Abuja (Central)

Oct 14 (Today): 31°C (88°F) high / 23°C (73°F) low. Isolated thunderstorms, 84% rain (5–10 mm). Partly sunny.

Oct 15: 30°C (86°F) / 22°C (72°F). Showers, 80% rain (10 mm). Moderate humidity.

Oct 16: 30°C (86°F) / 23°C (73°F). Thunderstorms, 82% rain. High UV index.

Oct 17: 31°C (88°F) / 23°C (73°F). Light rain, 75% chance. Sunny intervals.

Oct 18: 30°C (86°F) / 22°C (72°F). Showers, 78% rain. Cloudy.

Oct 19: 29°C (84°F) / 23°C (73°F). Thunderstorms, 80% rain. Improving later.

Oct 20: 30°C (86°F) / 23°C (73°F). Scattered rain, 70% chance. Clearing up.

Tip: Plan outdoor activities for late afternoons when showers are less likely. Stay hydrated.

Kano (North)

Oct 14 (Today): 32°C (90°F) high / 22°C (72°F) low. Scattered clouds, 40% rain. Dry and hot.

Oct 15: 33°C (91°F) / 23°C (73°F). Mostly sunny, 30% rain. Clear nights.

Oct 16: 32°C (90°F) / 22°C (72°F). Partly cloudy, 35% rain. Warm breeze.

Oct 17: 34°C (93°F) / 23°C (73°F). Sunny, 25% rain. Hot and dry.

Oct 18: 33°C (91°F) / 22°C (72°F). Clear skies, 20% rain. Comfortable.

Oct 19: 32°C (90°F) / 22°C (72°F). Mostly sunny, 30% rain. Dry trend.

Oct 20: 33°C (91°F) / 23°C (73°F). Sunny, 25% rain. Warm.

Tip: Early harmattan dust may reduce visibility. Protect against UV exposure during peak hours.

Regional Highlights

Southern Nigeria (Lagos, Port Harcourt): The wettest region, with 100–150 mm of rain expected this month. Coastal areas face higher flood risks, so stay updated on local alerts.

Central Nigeria (Abuja): Expect 7–8 rainy days in October, with ~99 mm of rainfall. The mix of sun and showers makes it ideal for flexible scheduling.

Northern Nigeria (Kano, Sokoto): Drier and hotter, with harmattan season creeping in. Highs may hit 34°C, and dust could affect air quality.

Stay Prepared

For real-time updates, download the NiMet app or visit their website. Monitor local news for flood warnings, especially in the south and southeast. If you’re traveling or planning outdoor events, check hyper-local forecasts for your specific area, as conditions can vary widely.

Stay safe, stay cool, and embrace the dynamic weather of Nigeria this October! For more tailored forecasts or monthly outlooks, drop a comment below.

Written by Gold Oyeniran